A Study on long-term energy scenarios for Japan

Sato, Osamu

A study was made on the evolution of energy demand and supply toward the year 2050 and on the potential benefits of nuclear energy utilization in Japan. For this purpose, assumptions were made on future economic growths, improvement in energy intensity, availability and costs of energy sources and energy technologies. Then, based on these assumptions, three cases of long-term energy scenarios were built with a different scale of nuclear energy utilization, and through their comparison possible role of nuclear energy was analyzed. It was indicated from this study that expansion of nuclear energy utilization will contribute to the reduction of fossil energy consumption, and therefore, enhancement of stable supply of energy and substantial reduction of carbon dioxide emissions with low economic costs.