Research and development of margin assessment methodology of decay heat removal function against external hazards, 9; Forest fire hazard assessment methodology

Okano, Yasushi; Yamano, Hidemasa   

There has been an increased concern in the safety of NPP for external hazards, one of which is a forest fire. Conventional forest fire assessments have been performed with deterministic and conservative manner, using so-called envelope initial and boundary conditions on forest fire analyses. In this study, the forest fire hazard assessment methodology, which is subject to an external-hazard probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), is being developed in order to quantitatively evaluate frequency and consequence of the forest fire that has a potential impact on a NPP and then to obtain the Core Damage Frequency. The new methodology based on a logic tree is developed in this study, as well as the sensibility analyses on weather conditions.