Fragility evaluation of wall-thinned pipes using PASCAL-EC

Ebine, Noriya ; Yamaguchi, Yoshihito ; Katsuyama, Jinya  ; Nishida, Akemi  ; Li, Y. 

A probabilistic analysis code PASCAL-EC (PFM Analysis of Structural Components in Aging LWR - Erosion and Corrosion) have been improved for evaluating structural integrity of wall thinned pipes on the basis of the Monte Carlo method. In order to perform the fragility evaluation for wall-thinned pipes, several functions are introduced to PASCAL-EC in this work, such as probabilistic evaluation model to consider the uncertainty of seismic response stress, a simple evaluation model to considered the increase of the seismic stress due to wall thinning and failure evaluation methods for wall-thinned pipes. This paper provides some details of these models and preliminary results of fragility evaluation using improved PASCAL-EC code for wall-thinned pipes in nuclear power plants.