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ATM analysis of the DPRK 2016 event and the potentially relevant Level C episode at the Takasaki station

Yamamoto, Yoichi ; Kijima, Yuichi ; Oda, Tetsuzo

The Japanese NDC-2 estimated the movement of virtual radioactive plume by the Atmospheric Transport Modelling (ATM) simulations with regard to the DPRK 2016 event. The simulations were done in two hypothetical cases of coincident and delayed emission of radionuclides. The NDC-2 decided which IMS radionuclide stations should be monitored based on the simulation results. As the result, no radionuclides generated from the nuclear explosion were found in any IMS data obtained from the selected radionuclide stations in January. However, xenon-133 with high activity concentration above the normal background levels was detected 5 times at the Takasaki station in the middle of February. The NDC-2 estimated the location of emission source of the Xe-133 by ATM backward tracking simulations. Some ATM simulations and the analysis results by the NDC-2 are shown in the presentation.

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