Method for detecting optimal seismic intensity index utilized for ground motion generation in seismic PRA

Igarashi, Sayaka*; Sakamoto, Shigehiro*; Ugata, Takeshi*; Nishida, Akemi  ; Muramatsu, Ken*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*  

For the purpose of improving the precision of probabilistic seismic PRA for NPPs, the authors developed the methodology for generating hazard-consistent ground motions based on stochastic fault models which include seismic-source uncertainties by Monte Carlo Simulation. The PRA with HCGMs would require a lot of computer power. The optimization of ground-motions generations is one of the most important subjects for practical application of the PRA method. For optimizing the ground-motions generations, seismic sources for the generations should be selected effectively, and this can be conducted by utilizing optimal seismic index in the hazard analysis. In this study, the method for detecting the optimal seismic intensity index which corresponds with damage probabilities of the target equipment system was developed, and the validity of the proposed method was confirmed for some equipment systems, which has different weak equipment with each other.