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Report No.
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Geosphere stability project; Summary of the development of geological-evolutionary model

Ishimaru, Tsuneari ; Yasue, Kenichi*; Onoe, Hironori ; Matsuoka, Toshiyuki; Komatsu, Tetsuya  ; Iwatsuki, Teruki  ; Takeuchi, Ryuji  ; Kato, Tomoko ; Sasao, Eiji   

JAEA have been developing the Geological-Evolutionary Models (GEMs) taking into account of long-term change of the geological environment in order to evaluate the geosphere stability. The purpose of the GEMs is to establish modeling techniques, which can express a long-term change of the geological environments. In addition, this project has the R&D such as the methodology for verification and an uncertainty estimate of the models, and the visualization technology of the model. In this R&D, FEP (Features, Events and Processes) analysis and scenario development for geological-evolutionary modeling of mountain area and plain area have been carried out. Paleo-hydrogeological model were constructed in consideration for long-term geological environments such as topography, geology and surficial environment, and spatial distribution of long-term stability of groundwater flow.

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