Probabilistic risk assessment of solar particle events considering the cost of countermeasures to reduce the aviation radiation dose

Fujita, Moe*; Sato, Tatsuhiko   ; Saito, Susumu*; Yamashiki, Yosuke*

Radiation exposure to flight crews and passengers, which is called aviation exposure, is an important topic in radiological protection, particularly due to solar energetic particles (SEP). We assessed the risks against the counter measure costs to reduce SEP doses and dose rates for eight flight routes during five ground level enhancements (GLE). A four-dimensional dose-rate database developed by the Warning System for Aviation Exposure to Solar Energetic Particles, WASAVIES, was employed in the SEP dose evaluation. Our calculations suggest that GLE that is enough to request a change in flight conditions occurs once per 47 and 17 years respectively, in the case of following the dose and dose-rate regulations. The annual risks against the counter measure costs are up to around 1500 USD per long-distance and high-latitude flight.