Development of VVUQ method for ensuring credibility of plant dynamics analysis results based on statistical approach

Hamase, Erina ; Kawamura, Takumi*; Doda, Norihiro  ; Tanaka, Masaaki  

A plant dynamics analysis code, Super-COPD, is being developed for the design and safety evaluation of sodium-cooled fast reactors. Verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) are required to ensure the reliability of its analysis results. In this study, to develop the VVUQ method, the uncertainty propagation analysis of input parameters was performed for the loss of flow without scram test in the FFTF, and the process of validation was investigated. In addition, the method of sensitivity analysis was investigated. As a result, the uncertainty of the analysis results was quantified, the applicability of the statistical method was confirmed. The sensitivity analysis using the Sobol' method identified the models that needs to be prioritized for improvement.