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Journal Articles

Damage status definition of piping system in industrial plants for mitigation of natech risk due to closure on elbows

Takito, Kiyotaka; Okuda, Yukihiko; Nakamura, Izumi*; Furuya, Osamu*

Transactions of 27th International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT 27) (Internet), 10 Pages, 2024/03

no abstracts in English

Journal Articles

Research and examination of seismic safety evaluation and function maintenance for important equipment in nuclear facilities

Furuya, Osamu*; Fujita, Satoshi*; Muta, Hitoshi*; Otori, Yasuki*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Okamura, Shigeki*; Minagawa, Keisuke*; Nakamura, Izumi*; Fujimoto, Shigeru*; Otani, Akihito*; et al.

Proceedings of ASME 2021 Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference (PVP 2021) (Internet), 6 Pages, 2021/07

Since the Fukushima accident, with the higher safety requirements of nuclear facilities in Japan, suppliers, manufacturers and academic societies have been actively considering the reconstruction of the safety of nuclear facilities from various perspectives. The Nuclear Regulation Authority has formulated new regulatory standards and is in operation. The new regulatory standards are based on defense in depth, and have significantly raised the levels of natural hazards and have requested to strengthen the countermeasures from the perspective of preventing the simultaneous loss of safety functions due to common factors. Facilities for dealing with specific serious accidents are required to have robustness to ensure functions against earthquakes that exceed the design standards to a certain extent. In addition, since the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) and the safety margin evaluation are performed to include the range beyond the design assumption in the safety improvement evaluation, it is very important to extent the special knowledge in the strength of important equipment for seismic safety. This paper summarizes the research and examination results of specialized knowledge on the concept of maintaining the functions of important seismic facilities and the damage index to be considered by severe earthquakes. In the other paper, the study on reliability of seismic capacity analysis for important equipment in nuclear facilities will be reported.

Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals; Quantifying epistemic uncertainty in fragility assessment using expert opinions and sensitivity analysis

Choi, B.; Nishida, Akemi; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Furuya, Osamu*; Muta, Hitoshi*; Muramatsu, Ken

Proceedings of 13th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (PSAM-13) (USB Flash Drive), 8 Pages, 2016/10

In this study, we address epistemic uncertainty in structure fragility estimation of nuclear power plants (NPPs). In order to identify and quantify dominant factors in fragility assessment, sensitivity analyses of seismic analysis results are conducted for a target NPP building using a three-dimensional finite element model and a conventional lumped mass model (embedded sway rocking model), and the uncertainty caused by the major factors is then evaluated. The results are used to classify epistemic uncertainty levels in a fragility estimation workflow for NPPs in several stages, and a graded knowledge tree technique, which can be used for future fragility estimations, is proposed.

Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 3; Sensitivity analysis for the quantification of epistemic uncertainty on fragility assessment

Nishida, Akemi; Choi, B.; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*

Transactions of 23rd International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT-23) (USB Flash Drive), 10 Pages, 2015/08

This study focused on uncertainty-assessment frameworks and the development of relevant software to improve the reliability of seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) for NPP and promote its further use. This research aimed at contributing to development of implementation guidelines on epistemic uncertainty. Some sensitivity analyses were performed using a three dimensional reactor-building model and a conventional evaluation model by using 3D vibration simulator for NPP of JAEA, and the results were provided to the experts for expert-opinion elicitation. The results of the sensitivity analyses were related to the uncertainty evaluation of the buildings and soil to evaluate the fragility of the equipment. In this paper, those results will be shown in comparison with a conventional evaluation model.

Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 1; Uncertainty analysis with the SECOM2 code

Muta, Hitoshi*; Muramatsu, Ken*; Furuya, Osamu*; Uchiyama, Tomoaki*; Nishida, Akemi; Takada, Tsuyoshi*

Transactions of 23rd International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT-23) (USB Flash Drive), 10 Pages, 2015/08

Seismic PRA is an effective measure to consider the countermeasures and improvement plans to secure the further safety of nuclear power plants regarding to seismic risk for the earthquake exceeding the reference ground motion. However, the application of the seismic PRA has not been utilized sufficiently so far. One of the reasons is that there is not enough consensus among stakeholders regarding to the evaluation methods and consideration of uncertainty for decision-making. This study proposes the mathematic framework to treat the uncertainty properly related to the evaluation of Core Damage Frequency induced by earthquake, the method to evaluate the fragility utilizing expert knowledge, the probabilistic model to cope with the aleatory uncertainty as well as the development of analyzing code including these considerations for the improvement of the reliability of the method and enhancement of utilization of the products of Seismic PRA.

Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 2; Quantifying epistemic uncertainty in fragility assessment using expert opinions

Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Nishida, Akemi; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*

Transactions of 23rd International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT-23) (USB Flash Drive), 10 Pages, 2015/08

The assessment of seismic safety of nuclear power plant facilities has been performed by identifying and quantifying uncertainties in seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA). For the evaluation process, all uncertainties are classified into either aleatory or epistemic uncertainty for their quantification. In this study, systematic evaluation of the epistemic uncertainty on the seismic fragility of structures and equipment is studied and implemented for a model NPP. There are two expert groups formed in this project: experts in the field of buildings and soil ground (CE experts) and experts in the field of pipe and equipment (ME experts). Along with ample results from relevant sensitivity analyses conducted, elicited opinions are carefully treated and classified into several specific areas and integrated into the form of knowledge tree technique (KTT), all of which can be utilized for future fragility estimation.

Journal Articles

Study on next generation seismic PRA methodology, 2; Quantifying effects of epistemic uncertainty on fragility assessment

Nishida, Akemi; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*

Proceedings of 12th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (PSAM-12) (USB Flash Drive), 12 Pages, 2014/06

This study focused on uncertainty-assessment frameworks and utilization of expertise develops methodology for quantification of uncertainty associated with final results from SPRA in the framework of risk management of Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) facilities. This research aimed to contribute to the development of probabilistic models for uncertainty quantification- and software (1); to the aggregation of expert opinions on structure/equipment fragility estimation and development of implementation guidance on epistemic uncertainty (2); and to the study of applicability of newly proposed SPRA models to plant models (3). In particular, we focused on the second goal. There were two different groups of experts used: those in the field of civil engineering, and those in the fields of mechanical engineering. With these groups, we conducted a pilot study on the use of expert-opinion elicitation for identification and quantification of parameters of fragility assessment.

JAEA Reports

Review of JAEA activities on the IFMIF liquid lithium target in FY2006

Ida, Mizuho; Nakamura, Hiroo; Chida, Teruo*; Miyashita, Makoto; Furuya, Kazuyuki*; Yoshida, Eiichi; Hirakawa, Yasushi; Miyake, Osamu; Hirabayashi, Masaru; Ara, Kuniaki; et al.

JAEA-Review 2008-008, 38 Pages, 2008/03

JAEA-Review-2008-008.pdf:9.37MB

Engineering Validation Design and Engineering Design Activity (EVEDA) of the International Fusion Materials Irradiation Facility (IFMIF) is under going. IFMIF is an accelerator-based Deuterium-Lithium (D-Li) neutron source to produce intense high energy neutrons and a sufficient irradiation volume for testing candidate materials for fusion reactors. To realize such a condition, 40 MeV deuteron beam with a current of 250 mA is injected into high speed liquid Li flow with a speed of 20 m/s. In target system, nuclear heating due to neutron causes thermal stress especially on a back-wall of the target assembly. In addition, radioactive species such as beryllium-7, tritium and activated corrosion products are generated. In this report, thermal stress analyses of the back-wall, mechanical tests on weld specimen made of the back-wall material, estimations of beryllium-7 behavior and worker dose at the IFMIF Li loop and consideration on major EVEDA tasks are summarized.

JAEA Reports

None

Yokoyama, Hiroomi*; Kanazawa, Toshio*; Fukuma, Tadashi*; Tamekiyo, Kozo*; Yanagida, Koji*; Furuya, Takashi*; Kono, Hiroshi*; Ito, Keiji*; Shirakura, Takao*; Kashiwara, Shinichiro*; et al.

PNC TN8410 87-086VOL2, 944 Pages, 1986/09

PNC-TN8410-87-086VOL2.pdf:32.16MB

JAEA Reports

Detailed design of new material nitric acid recovery evaporator

Yokoyama, Hiroomi*; Kanazawa, Toshio*; Fukuma, Tadashi*; Tamekiyo, Kozo*; Yanagida, Koji*; Furuya, Takashi*; Kono, Hiroshi*; Ito, Keiji*; Shirakura, Takao*; Kashiwara, Shinichiro*; et al.

PNC TN8410 87-086VOL1, 1037 Pages, 1986/09

PNC-TN8410-87-086VOL1.pdf:34.39MB

A detailed design for a New Material Nitric Acid Recovery Evaporator was carried out with a plan to use it to replace an already constructed stainless steel Nitric Acid Recovery Evaporator at the Power Reactor and Nuclear Fuel Development Corporation's Tokai Works. Most of the original Evaporator's conditions such as compliance with applicable laws, standards, structure, treatment performance and operating conditions were maintained when designing the new machine. The material is titanium with the addition of 5% tantalum. The Evaporator was designed with an operational life expectance of 10 years. We have calculated that the new Evaporator will have sufficient strength (including a seismatic design) and have the same evaporative performance as the already constructed one. During design, we referred to the results of already completed basic designs (Phase 1) of New Material Nitric Acid Recovery Evaporators, design and production of small-scale test equipment units, and the development of successful joints between different materials. We also considered manufacturing, installation, trial runs, maintenance, and the specifications for materials used for manufacturing, installation, piping and operation of the new Evaporator.

Oral presentation

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 1; Program plan and objectives

Muramatsu, Ken*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Nishida, Akemi; Uchiyama, Tomoaki*; Furuya, Osamu*; Fujimoto, Shigeru*; Hirano, Mitsumasa*; Muta, Hitoshi*

no journal, , 

In this research project, study on probabilistic models and treatment of epistemic uncertainty, study on quantification of epistemic uncertainty on fragility assessment and verification of usefulness of proposed method are performed for reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment. In this report, program plan and objectives are shown as part 1.

Oral presentation

Study on reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP, 1; Program plan and development of new framework of probabilistic models

Muramatsu, Ken*; Furuya, Osamu*; Fujimoto, Shigeru*; Hirano, Mitsumasa*; Muta, Hitoshi*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Nishida, Akemi; Uchiyama, Tomoaki*

no journal, , 

This project, focusing on uncertainty assessment framework and utilization of expertise, and finally developing relevant computer codes to improve reliability of seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) and to promote its further use of the SPRA, develops methodology for quantification of uncertainty associated with final results from SPRA in the framework of risk management of NPP facilities. The following scopes are set. (1) Development of framework of probabilistic models for uncertainty quantification and Computer codes (2) Aggregation of expert opinion on structure/equipment fragility estimation and development of implementation guidance on epistemic uncertainty (modeling uncertainty) (3) Study on applicability of SPRA to model plant. In this report, program plan of our research and new probabilistic models and treatment of epistemic uncertainty will be explained as part 1.

Oral presentation

Study on next generation seismic PRA methodology, 1; Program plan and proposal of new mathematical framework

Muramatsu, Ken*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Nishida, Akemi; Uchiyama, Tomoaki*; Muta, Hitoshi*; Furuya, Osamu*; Fujimoto, Shigeru*; Itoi, Tatsuya*

no journal, , 

This is the first of a series of papers on a study on next generation seismic probabilistic safety assessment methodology being conducted by the authors as a three-year project "Reliability Enhancement of Seismic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants as Risk Management Fundamentals", which was started in 2012 and is funded by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science & Technology (MEXT) of Japan. This paper gives an overview of the program plan and a proposal of new mathematical framework of S-PRA. We developed a computer code based on SECOM2-DQFM developed by JAEA. The proposed mathematical framework will be built-in it in order to make it possible to estimate the accident sequence occurrence probability and its uncertainty.

Oral presentation

Sensitivity analysis for quantification of uncertainty in fragility evaluation

Nishida, Akemi; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*

no journal, , 

This research develops methodology for quantification of uncertainty associated with final results from seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) in the framework of risk management of NPP facilities. In this research, we take a role of aggregation of expert opinion on structure/equipment fragility estimation and development of implementation guidance on epistemic uncertainty (modeling uncertainty). In this report, a trial evaluation result of quantification of uncertainty using analytical results of seismic response analysis and sensitivity analysis for a model plant are shown.

Oral presentation

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 10; Proposal of a new mathematical framework

Muramatsu, Ken*; Muta, Hitoshi*; Furuya, Osamu*; Fujimoto, Shigeru*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Nishida, Akemi; Uchiyama, Tomoaki*

no journal, , 

This project, focusing on uncertainty assessment framework and utilization of expertise, and finally developing relevant computer codes to improve reliability of seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) and to promote its further use of the SPRA, develops methodology for quantification of uncertainty associated with final results from SPRA in the framework of risk management of NPP facilities. The following scopes are set. (1) Development of framework of probabilistic models for uncertainty quantification and Computer codes, (2) Aggregation of expert opinion on structure/equipment fragility estimation and development of implementation guidance on epistemic uncertainty (modeling uncertainty), (3) Study on applicability of SPRA to model plant. In this report, new probabilistic models and treatment of epistemic uncertainty will be explained.

Oral presentation

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 13; Evaluation of piping and components

Furuya, Osamu*; Fujimoto, Shigeru*; Muramatsu, Ken*; Muta, Hitoshi*; Nishida, Akemi

no journal, , 

This project, focusing on uncertainty assessment framework and utilization of expertise, and finally developing relevant computer codes to improve reliability of seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) and to promote its further use of the SPRA, develops methodology for quantification of uncertainty associated with final results from SPRA in the framework of risk management of NPP facilities. The following scopes are set. (1) Development of framework of probabilistic models for uncertainty quantification and Computer codes, (2) Aggregation of expert opinion on structure/equipment fragility estimation and development of implementation guidance on epistemic uncertainty (modeling uncertainty), (3) Study on applicability of SPRA to model plant. In this report, epistemic uncertainty of the equipment and piping responses on the same floor is estimated by analytical point of view.

Oral presentation

Probabilistic risk assessment method development for high temperature gas-cooled reactors

Sato, Hiroyuki; Nishida, Akemi; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Tanabe, Masayuki*; Yamamoto, Tsuyoshi*

no journal, , 

The proposed research aims to establish a probabilistic risk assessment method for high temperature gas-cooled reactors fully utilizing their design and safety characteristics. The method will be developed for the incorporation of a graded approach as well as a component failure evaluation model using the operation and maintenance experience in the high temperature engineering test reactor into an accident frequency analysis. In addition, a source term evaluation method considering failures in core graphite components will be developed.

Oral presentation

Behaviour with damage on steel pipe joints subjected to large-scale deformation

Nakamura, Izumi*; Takito, Kiyotaka; Okuda, Yukihiko; Furuya, Osamu*

no journal, , 

no abstracts in English

18 (Records 1-18 displayed on this page)
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