Space weather benchmarks on Japanese society

Ishii, Mamoru*; Shiota, Daiko*; Tao, Chihiro*; Ebihara, Yusuke*; Fujiwara, Hitoshi*; Ishii, Takako*; Ichimoto, Kiyoshi*; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Koga, Kiyokazu*; Kubo, Yuki*; et al.

Earth, Planets and Space (Internet), 73(1), p.108_1 - 108_20, 2021/12

https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-021-01420-5

We surveyed the relationship between the scale of space weather events and their occurrence rate in Japan and we discussed the social impact of these phenomena during the Project for Solar-Terrestrial Environment Prediction (PSTEP). The information was compiled for domestic users of space weather forecasts for appropriate preparedness against space weather disasters. This paper gives a comprehensive summary of the survey, focusing on the fields of electricity, satellite operations, communication and broadcasting, satellite positioning usage, aviation, human space activity, and daily life on the Earth's surface, using the cutting-edge knowledge of space weather. Quantitative estimations of the economic impact of space weather events on electricity and aviation are also given.

Nowcast and forecast of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) and solar energetic particle (SEP) fluxes in magnetosphere and ionosphere; Extension of WASAVIES to earth orbit

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Shiota, Daiko*; Kubo, Yuki*; Ishii, Mamoru*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Miyake, Shoko*; Miyoshi, Yoshizumi*; Ueno, Haruka*; Nagamatsu, Aiko*

Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate (Internet), 9, p.A9_1 - A9_11, 2019/03

https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2019006

Real-time estimation of astronaut doses during solar particle events (SPE) is one of the most challenging tasks in cosmic-ray dosimetry. We therefore develop a new computational method that can nowcast the solar energetic particle (SEP) as well as galactic cosmic-ray (GCR) fluxes on any Earth orbit during a large SPE associating with ground level enhancement. It is an extended version of WArning System for AVIation Exposure to Solar Energetic Particle, WASAVIES. The extended version, called WASAVIES-EO, can calculate the GCR and SEP fluxes outside a satellite based on its two-line element data. Moreover, organ dose and dose-equivalent rates of astronauts in the International Space Station (ISS) can be estimated using the system, considering its shielding effect. The accuracy of WASAVIES-EO was validated based on the dose rates measured in ISS, as well as based on high-energy proton fluxes observed by POES satellites.

Evaluation of two-stage system for neutron measurement aiming at increase in count rate at Japan Atomic Energy Agency - Fusion Neutronics Source

Shinohara, Koji; Ishii, Keiichi*; Ochiai, Kentaro; Baba, Mamoru*; Sukegawa, Atsuhiko; Sasao, Mamiko*; Kitajima, Sumio*

Review of Scientific Instruments, 85(11), p.11E823_1 - 11E823_4, 2014/11

https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4893941

Fast neutron- discrimination on neutron emission profile measurement on JT-60U

Ishii, Keiichi*; Shinohara, Koji; Ishikawa, Masao; Baba, Mamoru*; Isobe, Mitsutaka*; Okamoto, Atsushi*; Kitajima, Sumio*; Sasao, Mamiko*

Review of Scientific Instruments, 81(10), p.10D334_1 - 10D334_3, 2010/10

https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3496986

ELM study using neutron profile monitor on JT-60U

Ishii, Keiichi*; Shinohara, Koji; Oyama, Naoyuki; Nakano, Tomohide; Ishikawa, Masao; Baba, Mamoru*; Isobe, Mitsutaka*; Kitajima, Sumio*; Sasao, Mamiko*

no journal, , 

no abstracts in English

Measurement of response on d-T neutrons of two-stage system for neutron emission profile measurement using a neutron beam at FNS

Shinohara, Koji; Ishii, Keiichi*; Ochiai, Kentaro; Baba, Mamoru*; Sasao, Mamiko*; Kitajima, Sumio*

no journal, , 

Radiation protection of humans in space and aviation; Current states and future needs on the warning system for aviation exposure to SEP (WASAVIES)

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Ishii, Mamoru*; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Kubo, Yuki*; Minoshima, Takashi*; Miyoshi, Yoshizumi*; Nagamatsu, Aiko*; Shiota, Daiko*; Takashima, Takeshi*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*

no journal, , 

Forecast of radiation doses for astronauts as well as aircrews due to the exposure to solar energetic particles (SEP) is one of the greatest challenges in space weather research. In last 5 years, we have developed a WArning System for AVIation Exposure to Solar energetic particles: WASAVIES. In this system, the SEP fluxes incident to the atmosphere are calculated by physics-based models, and they are converted to radiation doses using a database developed on the basis of air-shower simulation. However, it takes approximately 2.5 hours to determine the parameters used in the physics-based models after the detection of GLEs, and thus, the current WASAVIES cannot predict doses during the peak of GLEs. Therefore, we are trying to reduce the time for evaluating the parameters, as well as to develop a nowcast system for the radiation dose due to SEP exposure, under the framework of Project for Solar-Terrestrial Environment Prediction (PSTEP) in Japan. A brief outline of WASAVIES together with our future strategy will be presented at the meeting.

Warning system for aviation exposure to solar energetic particle (WASAVIES)

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Kubo, Yuki*; Ishii, Mamoru*; Miyake, Shoko*; Park, I.*; Miyoshi, Yoshizumi*

no journal, , 

Estimation of radiation doses for astronauts as well as aircrews due to the exposure to solar energetic particles (SEP) is one of the greatest challenges in space weather research. We are therefore developing a WArning System for AVIation Exposure to Solar energetic particle (WASAVIES), under the framework of Project for Solar-Terrestrial Environment Prediction (PSTEP). In the system, the radiation doses due to SEP exposure at flight altitudes are calculated on the basis of physics-based models and databases with four free parameters, which express the absolute value, power index, and time profiles of SEP fluxes near the sun, and the pitch angle incident to the magnetosphere. Thus, WASAVIES can estimate not only the current value but also time variation of the aircrew doses after a GLE event occurs. A brief outline of WASAVIES together with the status of on-going research subjects such as development of the web-based nowcast and forecast system will be presented at the meeting.

WASAVIES: Warning system for aviation exposure to solar energetic particles

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Shiota, Daiko*; Kubo, Yuki*; Ishii, Mamoru*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Miyake, Shoko*; Park, I.*; Miyoshi, Yoshizumi*

no journal, , 

A physics-based warning system for aviation exposure to solar energetic particles, WASAVIES, is developed for nowcasts and forecasts the radiation dose rates all over the world up to 24 h after the large solar flare onset. The performance of WASAVIES is examined by analyzing the three major GLE events of the 21st century. The accuracy of the calculated dose rates is well validated by the reproducibility of the count rates of several neutron monitors and GOES proton fluxes. A web-interface of WASAVIES is also developed and will be released in the near future through the public server of NICT.

Real-time estimation of astronaut doses during large solar particle events based on WASAVIES

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Shiota, Daiko*; Kubo, Yuki*; Ishii, Mamoru*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Miyake, Shoko*; Park, I.*; Miyoshi, Yoshizumi*; Ueno, Haruka*; et al.

no journal, , 

Real-time estimation of astronaut doses during solar particle events (SPE) is one of the most challenging tasks in cosmic-ray dosimetry. We therefore develop a new computational method that can nowcast the solar energetic particle (SEP) as well as galactic cosmic-ray (GCR) fluxes on any Earth orbit during a large SPE associating with ground level enhancement. It is an extended version of WArning System for AVIation Exposure to Solar Energetic Particle, WASAVIES. The detailed calculation procedures of WASAVIES-EO will be presented at the meeting, together with the results of its validation based on the experimental data measured in ISS during GLE60, 71 and 72.