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Kobayashi, Takuya; In, Teiji*; Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Shima, Shigeki*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*; Kawamura, Hideyuki; Togawa, Orihiko
Nihon Genshiryoku Gakkai Wabun Rombunshi, 7(2), p.112 - 126, 2008/06
The radionuclides migration forecasting system in the off Shimokita region has been developed to predict the routine and accidental releases of liquid radioactive wastes during the operations of a spent nuclear fuel reprocessing plant in Aomori prefecture, Japan. The results obtained from the case studies are as follows; (1) The ocean general circulation model by using the techniques of data assimilation and nesting reproduced well the flow pattern of a coastal area. (2) The estimated internal dose due to ingestion of marine products from hypothetical release of H was 0.45
Sv/y. (3) The results of hypothetical release of
Cs showed that about four percent of the whole deposited on the seabed after a 60-day calculation. The concentration of
Cs of hypothetical release from the off Shimokita region is the same or less than that of global fallout measured at the same area.
In, Teiji*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Shima, Shigeki*; Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*; Kobayashi, Takuya; Kawamura, Hideyuki; Togawa, Orihiko; Toyoda, Takahiro*
Proceedings of International Symposium on Environmental Modeling and Radioecology, p.58 - 64, 2007/03
The northwestern part of the Pacific Ocean off the Shimokita Peninsula assumes a complex water mass structure. It is necessary to accurately reproduce the striking circulation patterns and the complicated water mass structures in this area with an ocean general circulation model. We have planned to make use of a one-way nesting method. To initialize the forecast system, we use a 4-dimensional variational method of data assimilation. The assimilated data consist of hydrographic observations collected through the Global Temperature-Salinity Profile Program, sea surface temperature and sea surface height data observed by satellites. A forecast experiment on the basis of oceanographic observations made in 2003 illustrates the good performance of our system. We shall focus, in particular, on the shift from the coastal mode to the gyre mode and vice versa.
In, Teiji*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Shima, Shigeki*; Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*; Kobayashi, Takuya; Kawamura, Hideyuki; Togawa, Orihiko; Toyoda, Takahiro*
no journal, ,
no abstracts in English
Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*; In, Teiji*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Shima, Shigeki*; Toyoda, Takahiro*; Kobayashi, Takuya; Togawa, Orihiko; Kawamura, Hideyuki
no journal, ,
no abstracts in English
In, Teiji*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Shima, Shigeki*; Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*; Kobayashi, Takuya; Kawamura, Hideyuki; Togawa, Orihiko
no journal, ,
An oceanic forecasting system for coastal area near Rokkasho village has been developed. A circulation in this area is primarily controlled by the seasonally-varying Tsugaru Warm Current and the Oyashio. Previous observations suggest that seasonal variation in this region is characterized by two different modes: the coastal mode in cold seasons and the gyre mode in warm seasons. To attempt the accurate forecast, a downscaling method is an effective approach because it enables us to use a high resolution 4-dimensional variational data assimilation system. Model results realistically reproduced the seasonal variation of the Tsugaru Warm Current and the Oyashio from May in 2003 to January in 2004.
Munakata, Masahiro; Tezuka, Hiroko*; Yokoyama, Naomi*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*
no journal, ,
In transport of radiological materials, Exposure scenario and assessment model based on a survey of transportation in Japan, was developed. Using the developed model, regulatory limits on non-fixed surface contamination for the transport was discussed.
Munakata, Masahiro; Tezuka, Hiroko*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*
no journal, ,
no abstracts in English
In, Teiji*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Shima, Shigeki*; Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*; Kobayashi, Takuya; Kawamura, Hideyuki; Togawa, Orihiko
no journal, ,
We have been developing an oceanic forecasting/nowcasting system for the coastal area near Rokkasho village, which locates in the northern part of Honshu Island of Japan. Associated with the geographic features, the oceanographic condition in this area is very complicated. Previous observations show that the seasonal variation in this region is characterized by the two different modes: the coastal mode in a cold season in which flow takes a straight path along the Japan coast, and the gyre mode in a warm season in which swirl-like circulation appears. When attempting the accurate nowcast/forecast of this complicated regional circulation, a downscaling method is an effective approach since it enables us to use such a high resolution 4-dimensional variational data assimilation system. In fact, our forecast result using the high resolution data assimilation system demonstrates the good performance of reproducing both modes in a hindcast sense.
Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; In, Teiji*; Gasa, Shinichi*; Shima, Shigeki*; Kobayashi, Takuya; Togawa, Orihiko; Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*
no journal, ,
no abstracts in English
In, Teiji*; Nakayama, Tomoharu*; Matsuura, Yasutaka*; Shima, Shigeki*; Ishikawa, Yoichi*; Awaji, Toshiyuki*; Kobayashi, Takuya; Kawamura, Hideyuki; Togawa, Orihiko; Toyoda, Takahiro*
no journal, ,
The Shimokita Peninsula (hereafter SP)is located at the northeast tip of Honshu (the main island of Japan) and borders on the northwestern part of the North Pacific Ocean (hereafter NWNP) in the east and the Tsugaru Strait (hereafter TS) in the north. It is known that the NWNP off the SP assumes a complex water mass structure. Seawater of Japan Sea origin, called the Tsugaru Warm Water (TWW) component, takes on a characteristic seasonal variation. Conlon (1982) pointed out that during winter and spring, the TWW in the NWNP propagates southward along the coast of the peninsula (the coastal mode), and swirls off the peninsula from summer to autumn (the gyre mode). It is necessary to accurately reproduce the striking circulation patterns and the complicated water mass structures in this area with an ocean general circulation model (OGCM). We need to use a fine-scale grid, probably such as 1-2 km in size to reproduce the water mass structure around the TS and the off the SP in detail. To initialize the forecast system, we use a 4-dimensional variational method of data assimilation. A forecast experiment on the basis of oceanographic observations made in 2003 (a hindcast experiment) illustrates the good performance of our system. We shall focus, in particular, on the shift from the coastal mode to the gyre mode and vice versa.