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Journal Articles

Application of Bayesian machine learning for estimation of uncertainty in forecasted plume directions by atmospheric dispersion simulations

Kadowaki, Masanao; Nagai, Haruyasu; Yoshida, Toshiya*; Terada, Hiroaki; Tsuzuki, Katsunori; Sawa, Hiroki*

Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology, 60(10), p.1194 - 1207, 2023/10

 Times Cited Count:3 Percentile:47.86(Nuclear Science & Technology)

This study develops an estimation method using machine learning for uncertainty in forecasted plume directions. Bayesian machine learning was used in the machine learning approach. A three-day forecast simulation was conducted every day from 2015-2020, considering a hypothetical release of $$^{137}$$Cs from a nuclear facility to create training and test datasets for the machine learning. The findings reveal that the rate of good predictability was greater than 50% even in the forecast 36 h later when investigating the effectiveness of the Bayesian model on uncertainty estimation. Additionally, the frequency of miss prediction of higher uncertainty was low (0.9%-7.9%) throughout the forecast period. However, the rate of over-prediction of uncertainty increased with forecast time up to 31.2%, which is acceptable as a conservative estimation. These results show that the Bayesian model used in this study effectively estimates the uncertainty of plume directions predicted through atmospheric dispersion simulations.

Journal Articles

Sodium-cooled Fast Reactors

Ohshima, Hiroyuki; Morishita, Masaki*; Aizawa, Kosuke; Ando, Masanori; Ashida, Takashi; Chikazawa, Yoshitaka; Doda, Norihiro; Enuma, Yasuhiro; Ezure, Toshiki; Fukano, Yoshitaka; et al.

Sodium-cooled Fast Reactors; JSME Series in Thermal and Nuclear Power Generation, Vol.3, 631 Pages, 2022/07

This book is a collection of the past experience of design, construction, and operation of two reactors, the latest knowledge and technology for SFR designs, and the future prospects of SFR development in Japan. It is intended to provide the perspective and the relevant knowledge to enable readers to become more familiar with SFR technology.

Journal Articles

Evaluation of uncertainties derived from meteorological forecast inputs in plume directions predicted by atmospheric dispersion simulations

Yoshida, Toshiya; Nagai, Haruyasu; Terada, Hiroaki; Tsuzuki, Katsunori; Sawa, Hiroki*

Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology, 59(1), p.55 - 66, 2022/01

 Times Cited Count:3 Percentile:26.96(Nuclear Science & Technology)

Atmospheric transport, dispersion, and deposition models (ATDMs) can support decision-making during nuclear emergencies; however, uncertainties in the ATDM results need to be carefully evaluated. To investigate the uncertainties derived from meteorological forecast inputs, we conducted three-day forecast simulations every day for one year with hypothetical releases of radionuclides (one-hour releases every 6 h) from a nuclear facility. The forecast outputs were compared with the analysis outputs during the same period. The difference between the outputs is treated as the uncertainty in the forecasts and is represented as an angle based on the discrepancy in the plume directions between the analysis and forecast outputs. Using meteorological inputs made by Japan Meteorological Agency, the discrepancy angle (Ang) increased by approximately 10$$^circ$$ per day on an annual average basis. Meanwhile, the Ang values were occasionally 4-5 times higher than the annual average during short time periods. Since the Ang time series show seasonal and diurnal changes, the statistical characteristics likely depend on the geographical and meteorological conditions, as well as the types of meteorological inputs. Additionally, a main factor in the uncertainty is the wind-direction difference between the analysis and forecast outputs on scales of more than or less than 100 km.

Journal Articles

Method to reduce long-lived fission products by nuclear transmutations with fast spectrum reactors

Chiba, Satoshi*; Wakabayashi, Toshio*; Tachi, Yoshiaki; Takaki, Naoyuki*; Terashima, Atsunori*; Okumura, Shin*; Yoshida, Tadashi*

Scientific Reports (Internet), 7(1), p.13961_1 - 13961_10, 2017/10

 Times Cited Count:52 Percentile:97.84(Multidisciplinary Sciences)

Transmutation of long-lived fission products (LLFPs: $$^{79}$$Se, $$^{93}$$Zr, $$^{99}$$Tc, $$^{107}$$Pd, $$^{129}$$I, and $$^{135}$$Cs) into short-lived or non-radioactive nuclides by fast neutron spectrum reactors without isotope separation has been proposed as a solution to the problem of radioactive wastes disposal. Despite investigation of many methods, such transmutation remains technologically difficult. To establish an effective and efficient transmutation system, we propose a novel neutron moderator material, yttrium deuteride (YD$$_{2}$$), to soften the neutron spectrum leaking from the reactor core. Neutron energy spectra and effective half-lives of LLFPs, transmutation rates, and support ratios were evaluated with the continuous-energy Monte Carlo code MVP-II/MVP-BURN and the JENDL-4.0 cross section library. With the YD$$_{2}$$ moderator in the radial blanket and shield regions, effective half-lives drastically decreased from 10$$^{6}$$ to 10$$^{2}$$ years and the support ratios reached 1.0 for all six LLFPs. This successful development and implementation of a transmutation system for LLFPs without isotope separation contribute to developing a self-consuming cycle of LLFPs using fast spectrum reactors to reduce radioactive waste.

Journal Articles

Bithiophene with winding vine-shaped molecular asymmetry; Preparation, structural characterization, and enantioselective synthesis

Toyomori, Yuka*; Tsuji, Satoru*; Mitsuda, Shinobu*; Okayama, Yoichi*; Ashida, Shiomi*; Mori, Atsunori*; Kobayashi, Toru; Miyazaki, Yuji; Yaita, Tsuyoshi; Arae, Sachie*; et al.

Bulletin of the Chemical Society of Japan, 89(12), p.1480 - 1486, 2016/09

 Times Cited Count:9 Percentile:28.80(Chemistry, Multidisciplinary)

Journal Articles

Spectrum of heavy baryons in the quark model

Yoshida, Tetsuya*; Hiyama, Emiko*; Hosaka, Atsushi*; Oka, Makoto; Sadato, Katsunori*

Physical Review D, 92(11), p.114029_1 - 114029_19, 2015/12

 Times Cited Count:221 Percentile:99.28(Astronomy & Astrophysics)

Single- and double-heavy baryons are studied in the constituent quark model. The model Hamiltonian is chosen as a standard one with two exceptions: (1) the color-Coulomb term depends on quark masses and (2) an antisymmetric $$LS$$ (spin-orbit) force is introduced. Model parameters are fixed by the strange baryon spectra, $$Lambda$$ and $$Sigma$$ baryons. The masses of the observed charmed and bottomed baryons are, then, fairly well reproduced. Our focus is on the low-lying negative-parity states, in which the heavy baryons show specific excitation modes reflecting the mass differences of heavy and light quarks. By changing quark masses from the SU(3) limit to the strange quark mass, and, further, to the charm and bottom quark masses, we demonstrate that the spectra change from the SU(3) symmetry patterns to the heavy-quark-symmetry ones.

Journal Articles

Nickel oxide powder synthesis from aqueous solution of nickel nitrate hexahydrate by a microwave denitration method

Segawa, Tomoomi; Kawaguchi, Koichi; Ishii, Katsunori; Suzuki, Masahiro; Arimitsu, Naoki*; Yoshida, Hideto*; Fukui, Kunihiro*

Advanced Powder Technology, 26(3), p.983 - 990, 2015/05

 Times Cited Count:9 Percentile:27.29(Engineering, Chemical)

Denitration of the aqueous solution of nickel nitrate hexahydrate (Ni(NO$$_{3}$$)$$_{2}$$$$cdot$$6H$$_{2}$$O) by a microwave heating method was investigated. Since Ni(NO$$_{3}$$)$$_{2}$$$$cdot$$6H$$_{2}$$O aqueous solution cannot be heated to over 300 $$^{circ}$$C by microwave irradiation owing to the low microwave absorptivity of its intermediate, NiO could not previously be obtained by microwave heating. We propose a novel NiO synthesis method that uses microwave heating without the risk of chemical contamination. A NiO powder reagent was added to the solution as a microwave acceptor. The denitration efficiency to NiO could be improved by an adiabator around the reactor to increase the temperature homogeneity in the reactor. Numerical simulations also reveal that the use of the adiabator results in remarkable changes in the electromagnetic field distribution in the reactor, temperature inhomogeneity decreases.

JAEA Reports

Survey of radiation protection creiteria following the accident at the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant

Yamada, Katsunori; Fujii, Katsutoshi; Kanda, Hiroshi; Higashi, Daisuke; Kobayashi, Toshiaki; Nakagawa, Masahiro; Fukami, Tomoyo; Yoshida, Keisuke; Ueno, Yumi; Nakajima, Junya; et al.

JAEA-Review 2013-033, 51 Pages, 2013/12

JAEA-Review-2013-033.pdf:2.73MB

After the accident at Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant, various numerical criteria relevant to radiation protection were defined. We surveyed these criteria through internet. As a result of survey, the following 13 items were identified: (1) criteria for taking stable iodine tablets, (2) criteria for the screening of surface contamination, (3) evacuation area, sheltering area, etc., (4) activity concentrations in food, drinking water, etc., (5) dose limit for radiation workers engaged in emergency work, (6) guideline levels of radioactive substances in bathing areas, (7) criteria for use of school buildings and schoolyards, (8) restriction on planting rice, (9) acceptable activity concentrations in feedstuff, (10) acceptable activity concentrations in compost, (11) criteria for export containers and ships, (12) criteria for contaminated waste, (13) standards for radiation workers engaged in decontamination work. In this report, the basis of and issues on these criteria are summarized.

Journal Articles

Development of small specimen test techniques for the IFMIF test cell

Wakai, Eiichi; Kim, B. J.; Nozawa, Takashi; Kikuchi, Takayuki; Hirano, Michiko*; Kimura, Akihiko*; Kasada, Ryuta*; Yokomine, Takehiko*; Yoshida, Takahide*; Nogami, Shuhei*; et al.

Proceedings of 24th IAEA Fusion Energy Conference (FEC 2012) (CD-ROM), 6 Pages, 2013/03

Journal Articles

Detection and temporal variation of $$^{60}$$Co in the digestive glands of the common octopus, ${it Octopus vulgaris}$, in the East China Sea

Morita, Takami*; Otosaka, Shigeyoshi; Fujimoto, Ken*; Nishiuchi, Ko*; Kimoto, Katsunori*; Yamada, Haruya*; Kasai, Hiromi*; Minakawa, Masayuki*; Yoshida, Katsuhiko*

Marine Pollution Bulletin, 60(8), p.1193 - 1199, 2010/08

 Times Cited Count:3 Percentile:9.59(Environmental Sciences)

Significant concentrations of $$^{60}$$Co, $$^{137}$$Cs and $$^{108m}$$Ag were detected in common octopus specimens collected in the East China Sea during two periods, 1986-1989 and 1996-2005. The radionuclides detected in the former period were thought to originate from the global fallout. On the other hand, the source of $$^{60}$$Co in the latter period has remained unclear because the $$^{60}$$Co concentration decreased continuously with shorter half-lives than the physical half-lives. This tendency suggests that the source of $$^{60}$$Co in 1996-2005 was identical and was temporary supplied to the East China Sea. Investigations of common octopus in the other area indicated that the origin of the pollutant source of $$^{60}$$Co in 1996-2005 occurred locally in the restricted area in the East China Sea rather than in the coastal area of Japan.

Journal Articles

Dynamics of ion internal transport barrier in LHD heliotron and JT-60U tokamak plasmas

Ida, Katsumi*; Sakamoto, Yoshiteru; Yoshinuma, Mikiro*; Takenaga, Hidenobu; Nagaoka, Kenichi*; Hayashi, Nobuhiko; Oyama, Naoyuki; Osakabe, Masaki*; Yokoyama, Masayuki*; Funaba, Hisamichi*; et al.

Nuclear Fusion, 49(9), p.095024_1 - 095024_9, 2009/09

 Times Cited Count:32 Percentile:72.57(Physics, Fluids & Plasmas)

Dynamics of ion internal transport barrier (ITB) formation and impurity transport both in the Large Helical Device (LHD) heliotron and JT-60U tokamak are described. Significant differences between heliotron and tokamak plasmas are observed. The location of the ITB moves outward during the ITB formation regardless of the sign of magnetic shear in JT-60U and the ITB becomes more localized in the plasma with negative magnetic shear. In LHD, the low Te/Ti ratio ($$<$$ 1) of the target plasma for the high power heating is found to be necessary condition to achieve the ITB plasma and the ITB location tends to expand outward or inward depending on the condition of the target plasmas. Associated with the formation of ITB, the carbon density tends to be peaked due to inward convection in JT-60U, while the carbon density becomes hollow due to outward convection in LHD. The outward convection observed in LHD contradicts the prediction by neoclassical theory.

Journal Articles

Remote maintenance technology for a large scale Hot Laboratory

Sakamoto, Naoki; Yoshikawa, Katsunori; Kushida, Naoya; Katsuyama, Kozo; Nagamine, Tsuyoshi

Proceedings of 46th Annual Meeting of "Hot Laboratories and Remote Handling" Working Group (HOTLAB 2009) (CD-ROM), 5 Pages, 2009/09

The large-scale post irradiation examination facility for fast breeder reactor fuel assemblies has been operated since 1978 in JAEAs Oarai Research and Development Center. The facility has several hot cells and irradiated fuel assemblies are dismantled in the examination cell which is 6 m in length, 19.5 m in width and 7 m in height. Remote maintenance technology for use in the hot laboratory was established using electromechanical manipulators, in-cell cranes and a repair hoist system installed in the examination cell. The test equipment which is used for post irradiation examinations can be repaired using the electromechanical manipulators and in-cell cranes by remote handling. In addition, the electromechanical manipulators and in-cell cranes are designed to permit self-repair using the repair hoist system in the cell by remote handling.

Journal Articles

Applying the remote maintenance technology to the large scale hot laboratory

Sakamoto, Naoki; Yoshikawa, Katsunori; Kushida, Naoya; Nakamura, Yasuo; Sukegawa, Kiyoshi*

Nihon Hozen Gakkai Dai-5-Kai Gakujutsu Koenkai Yoshishu, p.226 - 230, 2008/07

no abstracts in English

Journal Articles

Eu isotope measurements on single SiC grains from the Murchison meteorite; A New probe of s-process conditions in parent Asymptotic Giant Branch stars

Terada, Kentaro*; Ito, Katsunori*; Hidaka, Hiroshi*; Yoshida, Takashi*; Iwamoto, Nobuyuki; Aoki, Wako*; Williams, I. S.*

New Astronomy Reviews, 50(7-8), p.582 - 586, 2006/10

 Times Cited Count:6 Percentile:19.70(Astronomy & Astrophysics)

Europium isotopic composition could be a good probe to investigate the neutron capture process in Asymptotic Giant Branch stars (AGB stars) and/or supernovae, because the $$^{151}$$Sm and $$^{153}$$Sm branchings are sensitive to the neutron densities and temperature. Here, we report Eu isotopic analyses of single SiC grains from primitive meteorites using the sensitive high resolution ion microprobe. The results are compared with Eu isotopic ratios predicted from the s-process model of AGB stars. The observed Eu isotopic composition of SiC grains place constraints on s-process conditions such as the temperature and neutron densities in AGB stars.

Journal Articles

Progress in physics and technology developments for the modification of JT-60

Tamai, Hiroshi; Matsukawa, Makoto; Kurita, Genichi; Hayashi, Nobuhiko; Urata, Kazuhiro*; Miura, Yushi; Kizu, Kaname; Tsuchiya, Katsuhiko; Morioka, Atsuhiko; Kudo, Yusuke; et al.

Plasma Science and Technology, 6(1), p.2141 - 2150, 2004/02

 Times Cited Count:2 Percentile:6.18(Physics, Fluids & Plasmas)

The dominant issue for the the modification program of JT-60 (JT-60SC) is to demonstrate the steady state reactor relevant plasma operation. Physics design on plasma parameters, operation scenarios, and the plasma control method are investigated for the achievement of high-$$beta$$. Engineering design and the R&D on the superconducting magnet coils, radiation shield, and vacuum vessel are performed. Recent progress in such physics and technology developments is presented.

Journal Articles

Objectives and design of the JT-60 superconducting tokamak

Ishida, Shinichi; Abe, Katsunori*; Ando, Akira*; Chujo, T.*; Fujii, Tsuneyuki; Fujita, Takaaki; Goto, Seiichi*; Hanada, Kazuaki*; Hatayama, Akiyoshi*; Hino, Tomoaki*; et al.

Nuclear Fusion, 43(7), p.606 - 613, 2003/07

no abstracts in English

Journal Articles

Objectives and design of the JT-60 superconducting tokamak

Ishida, Shinichi; Abe, Katsunori*; Ando, Akira*; Cho, T.*; Fujii, Tsuneyuki; Fujita, Takaaki; Goto, Seiichi*; Hanada, Kazuaki*; Hatayama, Akiyoshi*; Hino, Tomoaki*; et al.

Nuclear Fusion, 43(7), p.606 - 613, 2003/07

 Times Cited Count:33 Percentile:67.54(Physics, Fluids & Plasmas)

no abstracts in English

Journal Articles

R&D of a MW-class solid-target for spallation neutron source

Kawai, Masayoshi*; Furusaka, Michihiro*; Kikuchi, Kenji; Kurishita, Hiroaki*; Watanabe, Ryuzo*; Li, J.*; Sugimoto, Katsuhisa*; Yamamura, Tsutomu*; Hiraoka, Yutaka*; Abe, Katsunori*; et al.

Journal of Nuclear Materials, 318, p.35 - 55, 2003/05

R&D works for MW class solid target composed of tungsten to produce pulsed intense neutron source has been made in order to construct a future scattering facility. Three methods were investigated to prevent corrosion of tungsten from water; those are hipping, brazing and electric coating in molten salt bath. Hipping condition was optimized to be 1500 degree C in the previous work: here small punch test shows highest load for crack initiation of hipped materials at the boundary of W/Ta. The basic techniques for the other two methods were developed. Erosion test showed that uncovered W is susceptible of flowing water velocity. At high velocity w is easy to be eroded. For solid target design slab type and rod type targets were studied. As long as the optimized neutron performance is concerned, 1MW solid target is better than mercury target.

Oral presentation

Development of an objective evaluation method for the uncertainty of atmospheric dispersion prediction derived from a meteorological forecast

Yoshida, Toshiya; Nagai, Haruyasu; Terada, Hiroaki; Tsuzuki, Katsunori; Sawa, Hiroki*

no journal, , 

no abstracts in English

Oral presentation

Uncertainty estimation of plume directions in atmospheric dispersion predictions; Application of Bayesian machine learning

Kadowaki, Masanao; Nagai, Haruyasu; Yoshida, Toshiya*; Terada, Hiroaki; Tsuzuki, Katsunori

no journal, , 

We have developed a method for quantitatively estimating the uncertainty in the direction of radioactive material plume dispersion in atmospheric dispersion predictions using an analytical model obtained by applying Bayesian machine learning to a database of long-term prediction calculation results. In this method, atmospheric dispersion calculations using analytical outputs of meteorological fields were defined as true values, and the uncertainty using forecast outputs was evaluated based on the difference in plume centroid between analysis and forecast outputs and Bayesian machine learning. To test this method, atmospheric dispersion calculations were performed using WSPEEDI-DB, with a hypothetical atmospheric release of Cs-137 from the Nuclear Science Research Institute in Ibaraki Prefecture. The calculation result showed that this method can effectively estimate the uncertainty in the direction of plume dispersion predicted by the atmospheric dispersion model.

28 (Records 1-20 displayed on this page)