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Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals; Quantifying epistemic uncertainty in fragility assessment using expert opinions and sensitivity analysis

Choi, B.; Nishida, Akemi; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Furuya, Osamu*; Muta, Hitoshi*; Muramatsu, Ken

Proceedings of 13th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (PSAM-13) (USB Flash Drive), 8 Pages, 2016/10

In this study, we address epistemic uncertainty in structure fragility estimation of nuclear power plants (NPPs). In order to identify and quantify dominant factors in fragility assessment, sensitivity analyses of seismic analysis results are conducted for a target NPP building using a three-dimensional finite element model and a conventional lumped mass model (embedded sway rocking model), and the uncertainty caused by the major factors is then evaluated. The results are used to classify epistemic uncertainty levels in a fragility estimation workflow for NPPs in several stages, and a graded knowledge tree technique, which can be used for future fragility estimations, is proposed.

Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 3; Sensitivity analysis for the quantification of epistemic uncertainty on fragility assessment

Nishida, Akemi; Choi, B.; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*

Transactions of the 23rd International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT-23) (USB Flash Drive), 10 Pages, 2015/08

This study focused on uncertainty-assessment frameworks and the development of relevant software to improve the reliability of seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) for NPP and promote its further use. This research aimed at contributing to development of implementation guidelines on epistemic uncertainty. Some sensitivity analyses were performed using a three dimensional reactor-building model and a conventional evaluation model by using 3D vibration simulator for NPP of JAEA, and the results were provided to the experts for expert-opinion elicitation. The results of the sensitivity analyses were related to the uncertainty evaluation of the buildings and soil to evaluate the fragility of the equipment. In this paper, those results will be shown in comparison with a conventional evaluation model.

Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 1; Uncertainty analysis with the SECOM2 code

Muta, Hitoshi*; Muramatsu, Ken*; Furuya, Osamu*; Uchiyama, Tomoaki*; Nishida, Akemi; Takada, Tsuyoshi*

Transactions of the 23rd International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT-23) (USB Flash Drive), 10 Pages, 2015/08

Seismic PRA is an effective measure to consider the countermeasures and improvement plans to secure the further safety of nuclear power plants regarding to seismic risk for the earthquake exceeding the reference ground motion. However, the application of the seismic PRA has not been utilized sufficiently so far. One of the reasons is that there is not enough consensus among stakeholders regarding to the evaluation methods and consideration of uncertainty for decision-making. This study proposes the mathematic framework to treat the uncertainty properly related to the evaluation of Core Damage Frequency induced by earthquake, the method to evaluate the fragility utilizing expert knowledge, the probabilistic model to cope with the aleatory uncertainty as well as the development of analyzing code including these considerations for the improvement of the reliability of the method and enhancement of utilization of the products of Seismic PRA.

Journal Articles

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 2; Quantifying epistemic uncertainty in fragility assessment using expert opinions

Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Nishida, Akemi; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*

Transactions of the 23rd International Conference on Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology (SMiRT-23) (USB Flash Drive), 10 Pages, 2015/08

The assessment of seismic safety of nuclear power plant facilities has been performed by identifying and quantifying uncertainties in seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA). For the evaluation process, all uncertainties are classified into either aleatory or epistemic uncertainty for their quantification. In this study, systematic evaluation of the epistemic uncertainty on the seismic fragility of structures and equipment is studied and implemented for a model NPP. There are two expert groups formed in this project: experts in the field of buildings and soil ground (CE experts) and experts in the field of pipe and equipment (ME experts). Along with ample results from relevant sensitivity analyses conducted, elicited opinions are carefully treated and classified into several specific areas and integrated into the form of knowledge tree technique (KTT), all of which can be utilized for future fragility estimation.

Journal Articles

Study on next generation seismic PRA methodology, 2; Quantifying effects of epistemic uncertainty on fragility assessment

Nishida, Akemi; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Furuya, Osamu*; Muramatsu, Ken*

Proceedings of 12th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (PSAM-12) (USB Flash Drive), 12 Pages, 2014/06

This study focused on uncertainty-assessment frameworks and utilization of expertise develops methodology for quantification of uncertainty associated with final results from SPRA in the framework of risk management of Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) facilities. This research aimed to contribute to the development of probabilistic models for uncertainty quantification- and software (1); to the aggregation of expert opinions on structure/equipment fragility estimation and development of implementation guidance on epistemic uncertainty (2); and to the study of applicability of newly proposed SPRA models to plant models (3). In particular, we focused on the second goal. There were two different groups of experts used: those in the field of civil engineering, and those in the fields of mechanical engineering. With these groups, we conducted a pilot study on the use of expert-opinion elicitation for identification and quantification of parameters of fragility assessment.

Journal Articles

Results of whole body counting for JAEA staff members engaged in the emergency radiological monitoring for the Fukushima nuclear disaster

Takada, Chie; Kurihara, Osamu*; Kanai, Katsuta; Nakagawa, Takahiro; Tsujimura, Norio; Momose, Takumaro

NIRS-M-252, p.3 - 11, 2013/03

A massive earthquake and tsunami on March 11, 2011 resulted in an enormous amount of release of radioactivity to the environment. On the day after the earthquake occurrence, Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) started emergency radiological monitoring. The measurements with whole body counter (WBC) for the staff members who had returned from Fukushima started at the end of March. The measured activity of $$^{131}$$I due to inhalation for emergency staff varied from LLD to 7 kBq, which corresponded to a range of estimated initial intakes of $$<$$ 1 to 60 kBq when extrapolated back to the date on which the staff started the operation in Fukushima. The measured activity of $$^{134}$$Cs and $$^{137}$$Cs were both in the ranges of LLD - 3 kBq. The range of initial intake of $$^{137}$$Cs to $$^{131}$$I was 11 when taking a median from all the measurements. The maximum committed effective dose of 0.8 mSv was recorded for a worker, a member of the 2nd monitoring team dispatched from March 13 to 14.

Journal Articles

Measurements of $$^{131}$$I in the thyroids of employees involved in the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station accident

Kurihara, Osamu*; Kanai, Katsuta; Nakagawa, Takahiro; Takada, Chie; Tsujimura, Norio; Momose, Takumaro; Furuta, Sadaaki

Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology, 50(2), p.122 - 129, 2013/02

 Times Cited Count:6 Percentile:44.02(Nuclear Science & Technology)

no abstracts in English

JAEA Reports

Cracking investigation of Monju emergency generator C unit cylinder liner; Cylinder liner soundness confirmation by a fall cause of the materials strength of the cylinder liner and the supersonic wave speed

Kobayashi, Takanori; Sakon, Miyoji; Takada, Osamu; Hatori, Masakazu; Sakamoto, Tsutomu; Sato, Toshiyuki; Kazama, Akihito*; Ishizawa, Yoshihiro*; Igawa, Katsuhisa*; Nakae, Hideo*

JAEA-Review 2011-047, 48 Pages, 2012/02

JAEA-Review-2011-047.pdf:9.58MB

I confirmed a leak of the effluent gas from cylinder part during a load examination after the check of the emergency generator C unit on December 28, 2010 of the facilities check average and confirmed crack in No.8 cylinder liner part. As a result, because it was not performed oil pressure management properly without attaching an oil pressure gauge when I removed cylinder liner about the cause, crack occurred by having been able to write excessive stress for the cylinder liner and reached damage. By a process of this investigation, a fall of the materials strength of some cylinder liner was confirmed, but because a lead ingredient got mixed with materials by a casting process at the time of the production of the cylinder liner, as for this, Widmannst tten graphite occurred, and it became clear that materials strength fell. In addition, I performed inspection by the supersonic wave velocity measurement as technique to distinguish this Widmannst tten graphite easily and confirmed that I was effective.

Journal Articles

Radiation detection and measurement in patients contaminated with alpha emitters

Momose, Takumaro; Kurihara, Osamu; Takada, Chie; Furuta, Sadaaki

Proceedings of 1st International Symposium on Radiation Emergency Medicine at Hirosaki University, p.65 - 72, 2010/07

The basic principle of radiation control at plutonium facility such as characteristics of plutonium and relevant radionuclide which are operated in nuclear fuel cycle facilities is introduced and potential radioactive contaminations in accident is discussed. As a practice, decontamination procedure of skin at Tokai Reprocessing Plant, some of the operating principles and applications of various radiation detection and measurement instruments for contamination control and occupational monitoring for internal contamination are introduced. Special methods of measurement for alpha emitters for performing radiological monitoring such as radio autography of plutonium contamination on smear samples, nasal swab sampling and measurement, in vivo and in vitro analysis for plutonium and uranium have been improved and proven. The internal dose calculation code was originally developed in order to estimate retrospectively in case of accidental intake of plutonium.

Journal Articles

Practical action levels for chelation therapy in plutonium inhalation using nose swab

Kurihara, Osamu; Takada, Chie; Takasaki, Koji; Ito, Kimio; Momose, Takumaro; Miyabe, Kenjiro

Radiation Protection Dosimetry, 127(1-4), p.411 - 414, 2007/11

 Times Cited Count:7 Percentile:47.34(Environmental Sciences)

Practical action levels for beginning chelation therapy to remove plutonium in the body are now under discussion in Japan since there has been no experience in administrating agents to a subject in accidental intake in Japan although a first commercial reprocessing plant is about to start operation. Recently, International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) proposed some medical intervention levels for chelation therapy on ICRP Publication 96. These levels are determined based on internal dose however common monitoring methods such as lung counting or excreta analysis are not necessarily suitable in terms of both sensitivity and promptness. As an alternative, the authors paid attention to nose swabs and introduced the practical action levels.

Journal Articles

REIDAC; A Software package for retrospective dose assessment in internal contamination of radionuclides

Kurihara, Osamu; Hato, Shinji; Kanai, Katsuta; Takada, Chie; Takasaki, Koji; Ito, Kimio; Ikeda, Hiroshi*; Oeda, Mikihiro*; Kurosawa, Naohiro*; Fukutsu, Kumiko*; et al.

Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology, 44(10), p.1337 - 1346, 2007/10

 Times Cited Count:0 Percentile:0.01(Nuclear Science & Technology)

In the case of internal contamination of radionuclides, it is necessary to perform internal dose assessment for radiation protection. For this purpose, the ICRP has given the dose coefficients and the retention and excretion rates for various radionuclides. However, these dosimetric quantities are calculated only in typical conditions, therefore, are not necessarily covered enough in the case of dose assessment in which specific information on the incident or/and individual biokinetic characteristics should be taken into account retrospectively. This paper describes a developed PC-based package of software REIDAC to meet the needs in retrospective dose assessment. REIDAC was verified by comparisons with dosimetric quantities given on the ICRP publications and several examples of practical use were also shown.

Journal Articles

Development of $$^{241}$$Am lung monitoring system using an imaging plate

Hirota, Masahiro*; Kurihara, Osamu; Takada, Chie; Takasaki, Koji; Momose, Takumaro; Deji, Shizuhiko*; Ito, Shigeki*; Saze, Takuya*; Nishizawa, Kunihide*

Health Physics, 93(1), p.28 - 35, 2007/07

 Times Cited Count:4 Percentile:31.41(Environmental Sciences)

A new $$^{241}$$Am lung monitoring system without shielding was devised by using an imaging plate system. The Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory's realistic torso phantom containing a $$^{241}$$Am lung was covered by imaging plates sealed in lightproof bags. The imaging plate system displayed $$^{241}$$Am lung images characteristic of the lung shape of the torso phantom. The imaging plate system's lower detection limits of 14 Bq for 60 min exposure and 6 Bq for 300 min were the same levels as those of the phoswich detectors and the germanium detectors placed in shielded rooms. The imagingplate system for 60 min exposure detected about 2% of the annual limit of 740 Bq for $$^{241}$$Am inhalation. A lung monitoring system using imaging plates is applicable for $$^{241}$$Am lung monitoring.

JAEA Reports

Measurement of $$gamma$$ ray from fuel of High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor; Method of measurement and results

Fujimoto, Nozomu; Nojiri, Naoki; Takada, Eiji*; Yamashita, Kiyonobu; Kikuchi, Takayuki; Nakagawa, Shigeaki; Kojima, Takao; Umeta, Masayuki; Hoshino, Osamu; Kaneda, Makoto*; et al.

JAERI-Tech 2001-002, 64 Pages, 2001/02

JAERI-Tech-2001-002.pdf:3.64MB

no abstracts in English

Oral presentation

Imaging of $$^{239}$$Pu distribution in the lung

Hirota, Masahiro; Kurihara, Osamu; Takada, Chie; Takasaki, Koji; Momose, Takumaro; Deji, Shizuhiko*; Ito, Shigeki*; Saze, Takuya*; Nishizawa, Kunihide*

no journal, , 

no abstracts in English

Oral presentation

Detection of $$^{239}$$Pu distribution in the lung by an imaging plate

Hirota, Masahiro; Kurihara, Osamu; Takada, Chie; Takasaki, Koji; Momose, Takumaro; Deji, Shizuhiko*; Ito, Shigeki*; Saze, Takuya*; Nishizawa, Kunihide*

no journal, , 

no abstracts in English

Oral presentation

The Development and experience of internal monitoring in JAEA Nuclear Fuel Cycle Engineering Laboratory

Kanai, Katsuta; Kurihara, Osamu; Terakado, Yoshinori*; Takada, Chie; Ito, Kimio; Momose, Takumaro

no journal, , 

In JAEA Nuclear Fuel Cycle Engineering Laboratory(JAEA-NFCEL), MOX fuel fabrication facilities and spent fuel reprocessig facilities are operated during over several ten years for the purpose of establishing the nuclear fuel cycle technology. In these facilities, we have to need to pay attention to plutonium. We present the internal monitoring technique for plutonium in JAEA-NFCEL.

Oral presentation

Permeability of 241Am nitric solution into pig skin tissue; Consideration based on results of alpha-ray spectrometry

Kurihara, Osamu; Kim, E.*; Yuki, Masanori*; Nakata, Akifumi*; Takashima, Yoshio*; Takada, Misaki*

no journal, , 

We evaluated source efficiency of pig skin samples contaminated with Am-241 nitric aqueous solutions by using alpha-ray spectrometry. We also considered modeling of permeability into the skin tissue based on the measurements.

Oral presentation

Pulse neutron imaging experiments in the first year of J-PARC

Kai, Tetsuya; Harada, Masahide; Oikawa, Kenichi; Sakai, Kenji; Maekawa, Fujio; Oi, Motoki; Shinohara, Takenao; Aizawa, Kazuya; Takata, Shinichi; Arai, Masatoshi; et al.

no journal, , 

Development of imaging techniques with pulse neutrons were started using the NeutrOn Beam-line for Observation and Research Use (NOBORU) of J-PARC at December 2008. The results in the first three months, future research plans and discussions on a new imaging facility in J-PARC are shown.

Oral presentation

Internal radioactivity measurements of workers at Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant

Kanai, Katsuta; Kurihara, Osamu*; Takada, Chie; Nakagawa, Takahiro; Morishita, Yuki; Hokama, Tomonori; Takimoto, Misaki; Maruo, Yoshihiro; Momose, Takumaro

no journal, , 

no abstracts in English

Oral presentation

Reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment of NPP as risk management fundamentals, 1; Program plan and objectives

Muramatsu, Ken*; Takada, Tsuyoshi*; Itoi, Tatsuya*; Nishida, Akemi; Uchiyama, Tomoaki*; Furuya, Osamu*; Fujimoto, Shigeru*; Hirano, Mitsumasa*; Muta, Hitoshi*

no journal, , 

In this research project, study on probabilistic models and treatment of epistemic uncertainty, study on quantification of epistemic uncertainty on fragility assessment and verification of usefulness of proposed method are performed for reliability enhancement of seismic risk assessment. In this report, program plan and objectives are shown as part 1.

27 (Records 1-20 displayed on this page)