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JAEA Reports

OSCAAR version 2.0 User's Manual

Risk Analysis Research Group, Nuclear Safety Research Center

JAEA-Testing 2025-007, 110 Pages, 2026/03

JAEA-Testing-2025-007.pdf:2.57MB

The Japan Atomic Energy Agency's Nuclear Safety Research Center is developing the Level 3 PRA code OSCAAR as part of its research on probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) for nuclear power plant accidents. OSCAAR is a computational code that evaluates the advection, diffusion, and deposition of radioactive materials released into the environment under various meteorological conditions, based on source terms obtained from Level 2 PRA. It can probabilistically assess the radiation doses and health effects to the public caused by these radioactive materials. OSCAAR can account for the dose reduction effects of protective measures implemented during an actual nuclear power plant accident, thereby contributing to the pre-planning of countermeasures and plans to reduce the exposure of residents near nuclear power plants during an accident. This report is a manual for users to create input files and execute the OSCAAR program.

JAEA Reports

Model descriptions for OSCAAR version 2.0

Risk Analysis Research Group, Nuclear Safety Research Center

JAEA-Data/Code 2025-015, 68 Pages, 2026/02

JAEA-Data-Code-2025-015.pdf:2.82MB

The Japan Atomic Energy Agency's Nuclear Safety Research Center is developing the Level 3 PRA code OSCAAR as part of its research on probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) for nuclear power plant accidents. OSCAAR is a computational code that evaluates the advection, diffusion, and deposition of radioactive materials released into the environment under various meteorological conditions, based on source terms obtained from Level 2 PRA. It can probabilistically assess the radiation doses and health effects to the public caused by these radioactive materials. OSCAAR can account for the dose reduction effects of protective measures implemented during an actual nuclear power plant accident, thereby contributing to the preplanning of countermeasures and plans to reduce the exposure of residents near nuclear power plants during an accident. This report is a manual explaining the analysis model used in OSCAAR code version 2.0.

JAEA Reports

Evaluation of exposure doses and reduction factor for sheltering for each nuclear site under each accident scenario (Contract research)

Hirouchi, Jun; Watanabe, Masatoshi*; Hayashi, Naho; Nagakubo, Azusa; Takahara, Shogo

JAEA-Research 2024-015, 114 Pages, 2025/03

JAEA-Research-2024-015.pdf:10.03MB

The public living in areas contaminated by nuclear accidents is exposed to radiation in the early phase and over the long term. Even under the same accident scenario, the exposure doses and the effectiveness of sheltering, which is one of the protective measures, vary depending on the meteorological condition and the surrounding environment. The exposure doses and sheltering effectiveness in the early phase are important information for the public and the national and local governments planning a nuclear emergency preparedness. In this report, we evaluate the exposure doses and sheltering effectiveness at sites with nuclear facilities in Japan using OSCAAR, one of the probabilistic risk assessment codes, for five accident scenarios: three scenarios from past severe accident studies; a scenario defined by the Nuclear Regulatory Authority; and a scenario assuming the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station accident. The sheltering effectiveness differed by approximately 20% among the sites. This was due to the differences in wind speed among the sites.

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