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Journal Articles

PSTEP: Project for solar-terrestrial environment prediction

Kusano, Kanya*; Ichimoto, Kiyoshi*; Ishii, Mamoru*; Miyoshi, Yoshizumi*; Yoden, Shigeo*; Akiyoshi, Hideharu*; Asai, Ayumi*; Ebihara, Yusuke*; Fujiwara, Hitoshi*; Goto, Tadanori*; et al.

Earth, Planets and Space (Internet), 73(1), p.159_1 - 159_29, 2021/12

 Times Cited Count:6 Percentile:51.19(Geosciences, Multidisciplinary)

The PSTEP is a nationwide research collaboration in Japan and was conducted from April 2015 to March 2020, supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research on Innovative Areas from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan. It has made a significant progress in space weather research and operational forecasts, publishing over 500 refereed journal papers and organizing four international symposiums, various workshops and seminars, and summer school for graduate students at Rikubetsu in 2017. This paper is a summary report of the PSTEP and describes the major research achievements it produced.

Journal Articles

Air shower simulation for WASAVIES; Warning system for aviation exposure to solar energetic particles

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Yashiro, Seiji*; Kuwabara, Takao*; Shiota, Daiko*; Kubo, Yuki*

Radiation Protection Dosimetry, 161(1-4), p.274 - 278, 2014/10

 Times Cited Count:22 Percentile:85.25(Environmental Sciences)

We applied our simulation technique to the analysis of air shower induced by mono-energetic protons and alpha particles, which are the dominant component of SEP. The results of the simulations were summarized in a database containing particle fluxes for each condition as a function of the atmospheric depth. This database was then incorporated into our developing Warning System of AVIation Exposure to SEP called WASAVIES. In this system, the aircrew doses due to SEP exposure are estimated within 6 hours after the flare onset, using the established database multiplied with the SEP fluxes incident to the earth. The MHD Cube model is employed in the determination of the incident SEP fluxes. The procedures for the air shower simulation together with some initial results of the aircrew dose calculations for past ground-level enhancement (GLE) events will be presented at the meeting.

Journal Articles

Radiation dose forecast of WASAVIES during ground-level enhancement

Kataoka, Ryuho*; Sato, Tatsuhiko; Kubo, Yuki*; Shiota, Daiko*; Kuwabara, Takao*; Yashiro, Seiji*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*

Space Weather, 12(6), p.380 - 386, 2014/06

 Times Cited Count:19 Percentile:51.8(Astronomy & Astrophysics)

Solar energetic particles (SEP) sometimes induce air shower that significantly increase the radiation dose at flight altitudes. In order to inform the situation of such a space radiation hazard to aircrews, a physics-based forward model is developed as WASAVIES (Warning System for Aviation Exposure to SEP) based on the focused transport equation and Monte Carlo particle transport simulation of the air shower. WASAVIES gives the fastest and simplest way to predict the time profile of dose rate during ground-level enhancements (GLEs).

Oral presentation

Simulation of air shower induced by solar energetic particle

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Yashiro, Seiji*; Kuwabara, Takao*; Shiota, Daiko*

no journal, , 

In order to precisely estimate the aircrew doses, the Monte Carlo simulation for air shower is indispensable. We had therefore simulated air showers induced by GCR, using a general-purpose Monte Carlo particle and heavy ion transport simulation code system PHITS, and established a model for calculating the aircrew doses anywhere in the world at the solar quiet time. In this study, we applied our simulation technique to the analysis of air shower induced by SEP, and established a model for estimating the aircrew doses from a given SEP energy spectrum and cutoff latitude. The model is to be incorporated into our developing Warning System of AVIation Exposure to SEP called WASAVIES.

Oral presentation

Space weather hazards on aviation exposure

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Yashiro, Seiji*; Kuwabara, Takao*; Shiota, Daiko*

no journal, , 

We are trying to develop a two-step forecast system for the SEP doses named WASAVIES (WArning System of AVIation Exposure to SEP). The present status of the development of WASAVIES will be reported at the meeting, together with a brief summary of the currently operating systems for estimating the GCR and SEP doses.

Oral presentation

Verification of air shower simulation induced by solar energetic particles

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Yashiro, Seiji*; Kuwabara, Takao*; Shiota, Daiko*

no journal, , 

When solar energetic particles (SEP) are incident to the atmosphere, they can induce air showers by generating varieties of secondary particles. Such secondary particles can reach conventional flight altitudes (12 km), and hence, aircrews are exposed to enhanced level of radiations. In order to precisely estimate the aircrew doses, the Monte Carlo simulation for air shower is indispensable. We therefore simulated air showers induced by mono-energetic protons, using a general-purpose Monte Carlo particle and heavy ion transport simulation code system PHITS, and developed a database of particle fluxes in the atmosphere. Combining the database with the proton fluxes measured by PAMELA during the GLE event occurred on Dec. 13th 2006, the count rates of the neutron monitor located at Thule were calculated. The calculated count rates agree with the measured data fairly well, verifying the accuracy of our simulation technique.

Oral presentation

Development of WASAVIES (Warning System of AVIation Exposure to SEP); System overview

Sato, Tatsuhiko; Yasuda, Hiroshi*; Kataoka, Ryuho*; Yashiro, Seiji*; Kuwabara, Takao*; Shiota, Daiko*; Kubo, Yuki*

no journal, , 

When solar energetic particles (SEP) are incident to the atmosphere, they can induce air showers by generating varieties of secondary particles. Such secondary particles can reach the deep into the atmosphere, and enhance the level of radiation doses. This can be a hazard of aircrews. In order to precisely estimate the radiation doses during large solar particle events, we are developing a warning system of aviation exposure to SEP, WASAVIES. The WASAVIES has been tested and verified by making a comparison between the measured and calculated count rates of several neutron monitors during past GLE (ground level enhancement) events. The final goal of our project is to predict the enhancement of radiation doses due to SEP exposure within 6 hours from the GLE onset.

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