Assessment of Heterogeneous Geological Environment at Tono; A Technical Report

Toida, Masaru*; Suyama, Yasuhiro*; Inaba, Takeshi*; Sasakura, Takeshi*; Atsumi, Hiroyuki*; Tanaka, Toshiyuki*; Kobayashi, Ichizo*; Iwano, Keita*; Furuichi, Mitsuaki*

JNC TJ7400 2004-017, 521 Pages, 2004/02

JNC-TJ7400-2004-017.pdf:96.64MB

"Geoscientific research" at Tono is developing site investigation, characterization and assessment techniques for understanding of geological environment. Their important themes are to establish a methodology for analyzing uncertainties in heterogeneous geological environment and to develop investigation techniques for reducing the uncertainties efficiently. The current study proposes a new approach where all the possible options in the models and data-sets that cannot be excluded in the light of the evidence available is identified. This approach enables uncertainties associated with the understanding at a given stage of the site characterization to be made explicitly using an uncertainty analysis technique based on Fuzzy geostatistics. This, in turn, supports the design of the following investigation stage to reduce the uncertainties efficiently. In this report the technique has been tested through geological modelling and groundwater analysis with Tono area case based on current knouledge, to demonstrate its applicability. This report summarizes as follows: (1)It is possible to quantify the uncertainties with Tono area case based on current knouledge using the technique. (2)Based on sensitivity analyses, it is possible to support designs of the following investigation stage to reduce the uncertainties efficiently. (3)The methodology of the technique has been developed with Tono area case. (4)The above could evaluate its applicability and propose further issues for synthesis of the methodology.