The Effect assessment for fast reactor fuel cycle deployment; Improvement of the assessment method

高速炉サイクル導入影響評価

向井田 恭子  ; 塩谷 洋樹; 小野 清 ; 難波 隆司

Mukaida, Kyoko; Shiotani, Hiroki; Ono, Kiyoshi; Namba, Takashi

本報告では、動学的一般均衡モデルとエネルギーシステムモデルを連携させた、エネルギー経済モデルを用いて高速炉導入の経済効果を示す。世界的に高速炉が導入されるケースを試算し、日本及び世界における電源構成、日本の経済影響、産業影響等を算出した。今世紀後半には世界的に高速炉が導入されていき、日本の国内総生産は累積で数兆円上昇し、鉄鋼・非鉄金属を含む各産業で生産量を増大させるとの評価結果が得られた。

The economic effect of FR deployment with energy economic model, which is a combination of recursive computable general equilibrium model and energy system model is shown in this study. Electricity supply of both Japan and the world, economic effect and riple effect on various industries are calculated through the case with FR deployment in global scale. It is shown that FRs are deployed worldwide in the latter half of this century; the cumulated GDP (Gross Domestic Product) of Japan will increase by several trillion JPY (Japanese Yen), and the amounts of production of various industries including steel and non-ferrous metal are increased from the assessment results.