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Development of risk assessment methodology against external hazards for sodium-cooled fast reactors

外部ハザードに対するナトリウム冷却高速炉のためのリスク評価手法の開発

山野 秀将; 西野 裕之; 岡野 靖; 山元 孝広*; 高田 孝*

Yamano, Hidemasa; Nishino, Hiroyuki; Okano, Yasushi; Yamamoto, Takahiro*; Takata, Takashi*

本研究では、ナトリウム冷却高速炉のための積雪,竜巻,強風,火山噴火,森林火災に対する確率論的リスク評価(PRA)及びマージン評価手法を含むリスク評価手法を開発している。本論文では、これらの研究の全体概要と強風に対するリスク評価手法開発について述べる。強風PRAでは、気象データに基づきグンベル分布を用いてハザード曲線を推定し、強風による破損確率を求めたうえで、イベントツリーに基づき定量化を可能とする手法開発を行った。機器毎の破損評価も行い、機器損傷に至る風速をマージンとみなす機器別のマージン評価手法も開発した。

The present study is developing risk assessment methodologies that include probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) and margin assessment methodologies against snow, tornado, strong wind, rain, volcanic eruption and forest fire mainly for a sodium-cooled fast reactor. The present paper describes briefly the project overview and then mainly the development of PRA and margin assessment methodologies against strong wind. In the strong wind PRA, the hazard curve was estimated using the Gumbel distributions based on weather data. Next, failure probabilities for components were calculated and event trees were developed. Using them, the strong wind PRA methodology was developed to quantify a core damage frequency. The present study also developed the wind margin assessment methodology that the margin was regarded as wind speed leading to the decay heat removal failure.

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