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A Multiscale Bayesian data integration approach for mapping air dose rates around the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant

ベイズ手法を用いたデータ統合による原子力発電所周辺の空間線量率の地図化

Wainwright, H. M.*; 関 暁之   ; Chen, J.*; 斎藤 公明  

Wainwright, H. M.*; Seki, Akiyuki; Chen, J.*; Saito, Kimiaki

福島第一原子力発電所事故に由来する空間線量率の複数スケールのモニタリングデータの統合を行った。具体的には同時期に測定された歩行サーベイと走行サーベイ、航空機サーベイであり、これらデータは、領域・解像度・精度などの違いの特徴がある。本論文で用いた手法により、これら3つのデータについて統合し、高解像度のマップを広範囲の領域で作ることに成功した。さらにこの研究で、都市部におけるセシウムの分布状況について人間活動に由来する高い不均質性についての情報や、それに伴う多くの測定の食い違いも明らかになった。

This paper presents a multiscale data integration method to estimate the spatial distribution of air dose rates in the regional scale around the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant. We demonstrate our approach using three types of datasets collected at the same time over Fukushima City in Japan: (1) coarse-resolution airborne surveys covering the entire area, (2) car surveys along major roads, and (3) walk surveys in multiple neighborhoods. Results show that the method can successfully integrate three types of datasets and create an integrated map (including the confidence intervals) of air dose rates over the domain in high resolution. Moreover, this study provides us with various insights into the characteristics of each data set, as well as radiocaesium distribution. In particular, the urban areas show high heterogeneity in the contaminant distribution due to human activities as well as large discrepancy among different surveys due to such heterogeneity.

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パーセンタイル:40.26

分野:Environmental Sciences

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