Simulating long-term Cs distribution on territory of Fukushima

Kitamura, Akihiro   ; Yamaguchi, Masaaki ; Oda, Yoshihiro ; Kurikami, Hiroshi  ; Onishi, Yasuo*

Long term Cs transport and its future distribution on the territory of Fukushima were predicted based on the USLE and the GIS. By modeling the soil erosion, transport, and deposition, we simulated the future distributions of air dose rates of Cs in mSv/h for 2, 6 and 21 years after the accident. The predictions made by METI were compared with the present results. The predictions of relatively high air dose rate areas were consistently matched between the two models over time. However, our model seemed to predict the decreasing rate of the Cs concentration with time to be slightly less than that of METI prediction. Some portions of the results obtained in the present study were used to provide influxes of sediments and Cs as boundary conditions and lateral inflows for the hydraulic river model.