Effectiveness evaluation of the measures for improving resilience of nuclear structures against excessive earthquake, 2; Accident sequences analysis

過大地震時に対する原子炉構造のレジリエンス向上策の有効性評価,2; 事故シーケンス解析

栗坂 健一 ; 西野 裕之  ; 山野 秀将   

Kurisaka, Kenichi; Nishino, Hiroyuki; Yamano, Hidemasa

本研究の目的は破損拡大抑制技術によって過大地震時の原子炉構造レジリエンス向上策の有効性を評価することである。安全上重要な機器・構造物のレジリエンス向上策によって耐震裕度が増すとみなす。同向上策の有効性を評価するため、炉心損傷頻度CDFを指標に選び、CDFの低減を地震PRAによって定量化する。ループ型次世代ナトリウム冷却高速炉を想定して有効性評価を実施した。地震時CDFに寄与の大きい原子炉容器RVを対象に、従来は座屈を破損とみなしていたところ、振動座屈後に安定な状態を維持する場合を想定し、疲労破損に至るまでの座屈後のRV挙動を現実的に考慮することをレジリエンス向上策とみなした。仮定した範囲内では、レジリエンス向上策は設計地震動の数倍の地震までCDFを有意に低減する効果を示した。

The objective of this study is to implement an effectiveness evaluation of the measures for improving resilience of nuclear structures against excessive earthquake. In this study, those measures for improving resilience have an effect to enlarge their seismic safety margin. To evaluate effectiveness of those measures, seismic core damage frequency (CDF) is selected as an index. Reduction of CDF as an effectiveness index is quantified by applying seismic PRA technology. Target system is a loop-type next-generation sodium-cooled fast reactor, which adopts the building isolated from horizontal seismic ground motion. Even if the reactor vessel (RV) is buckled due to seismic shaking, it is expected that the RV maintains stable state without unstable failure such as rupture, collapse. Realistic consideration of the post-buckling behavior is regarded as a measure for improving resilience in this study. We set two cases for improving the resilience in the accident sequences analysis. The first case assumes low-cycle fatigue failure after buckling as the realistic failure mode of the RV, and we applied the fragility evaluated in our study. After the RV fatigue failure, the behavior of failure propagation is very uncertain. As the second case, the median seismic capacity to loss of reactor level is assumed to be slightly larger than that of fatigue failure of the RV. Analyses for both cases were performed, and the results were compared to the base case indicating significant reduction of CDF. Within the assumption, the measures for improving the resilience were significantly effective for decreasing CDF in excessive earthquake up to several times of a design basis ground motion. The seismic PRA technology could serve to the effectiveness evaluation of the measures for improving resilience of nuclear structures against excessive earthquake.