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Yoshino, Naoto; Miyanomae, Shunichi*; Inoue, Hiroyuki*; Nashimoto, Yutaka*
JNC TJ8400 2005-004, 166 Pages, 2005/02
In this paper, following two issues were examined and estimated, (1) The influence of near field condition factor to the dynamical behavior of sedimentary soft rock (2) The long term estimation of the dynamical behavior considering the condition of Horonobe area As the study about the influence of near field condition factor to the dynamical behavior of sedimentary soft rock, the thermal factor was focused on and the laboratory tests using test pieces which were sampled in Horonobe area were carried out under the water temperature were 20 degrees and 80 degrees. As a result, the time dependence parameter in variable-compliance-type constitutive-equation could be obtained. And comparison between creep property under 20 degrees and 80 degrees was conducted. In addition, the general properties of sedimentary soft rock under several conditions were identified by the survey of the literature. And the way how to confirm the dynamical properties of sedimentary soft rock with in-situ test were presented. For the study on the short-term and long-term stability of rock surroundig buffer materials, numerical simulations were carried out assuming several conditions. The direction of disposal tunnels and the ratio of rock strength by initial stress were estimated to be the main factor affecting the short-term stability of rock. Time dependency of rock and the stiffness of buffer material were estimated to be the main factor affecting the long-term stability of rock.
Yoshino, Naoto; Nomoto, Kosuke*; Matsui, Mikio*; Nashimoto, Yutaka*
JNC TJ8400 2004-035, 227 Pages, 2005/01
There are various uncertainty factors in the safety assessment for the geological disposal of High Level Nuclear Waste. And it is difficult to eliminate these uncertainty factors completely. Then it is important to evaluate the various uncertainty factors quantitatively for the safety assessment of the geological disposal. Japan Nuclear Cycle Development Institute focused on the groundwater flow analysis and studied about following issues in 2003 in order to quantify the variance of values which obtained by field investigation or numerical analysis. (1)The method to estimate the hydraulic conductivity and quantify the variability of estimated hydraulic conductivity. (2)The quantification of the key parameter's variability based on probability flow rate analysis. (3)Case study by the vertical two dimensional field. Two-dimensional numerical simulation program in which the uncertainty of the reach point in the ground water flow can be estimated was developed in above subjects. In this study, following three issues are studied (1)verification about the variance of the reach point estimated by 2-dimensional simulation program (2)development of 3-dimensional simulation program (3)Case study by 3-dimensional simulation program
Yoshino, Naoto; Nashimoto, Yutaka*; Matsui, Mikio*; Ito, Setsuo*; Nomoto, Kosuke*
JNC TJ8400 2003-071, 63 Pages, 2004/01
In this paper authors focused on the uncertainty of the groundwater modeling, and following three issues are examined in order to estimate the spatial variance in the modeling field quantitatively; 1.The method to estimate the hydraulic conductivity and quantify the variability of estimated hydraulic conductivity. 2.The quantification of the key parameter's variability based on probability flow rate analysis. 3.Case study by the vertical two dimensional field.