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Brumm, S.*; Gabrielli, F.*; Sanchez-Espinoza, V.*; Groudev, P.*; Ou, P.*; Zhang, W.*; Malkhasyan, A.*; Bocanegra, R.*; Herranz, L. E.*; Berda
, M.*; et al.
Proceedings of 10th European Review Meeting on Severe Accident Research (ERMSAR 2022) (Internet), 13 Pages, 2022/05
The current HORIZON-2020 project on "Management and Uncertainties of Severe Accidents (MUSA)" aims at applying Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in the modeling of Severe Accidents (SA), particularly in predicting the radiological source term of mitigated and unmitigated accident scenarios. Within its application part, the project is devoted to the uncertainty quantification of different severe accident codes when predicting the radiological source term of selected severe accident sequences of different nuclear power plant designs, e.g. PWR, VVER, and BWR. Key steps for this investigation are, (a) the selection of severe accident sequences for each reactor design, (b) the development of a reference input model for the specific design and SA-code, (c) the selection of a list of uncertain model parameters to be investigated, (d) the choice of an UQ-tool e.g. DAKOTA, SUSA, URANIE, etc., (e) the definition of the figures of merit for the UA-analysis, (f) the performance of the simulations with the SA-codes, and, (g) the statistical evaluation of the results using the capabilities, i.e. methods and tools offered by the UQ-tools. This paper describes the project status of the UQ of different SA codes for the selected SA sequences, and the technical challenges and lessons learnt from the preparatory and exploratory investigations performed.
Lind, T.*; Pellegrini, M.*; Herranz, L. E.*; Sonnenkalb, M.*; 西 義久*; 玉置 等史; Cousin, F.*; Fernandez Moguel, L.*; Andrews, N.*; Sevon, T.*
Nuclear Engineering and Design, 376, p.111138_1 - 111138_12, 2021/05
被引用回数：15 パーセンタイル：93.47(Nuclear Science & Technology)OECD/NEAプロジェクト"福島第一原子力発電所事故に関するベンチマーク研究"のフェーズ2において、5か国8組織が異なるシビアアクシデント解析コードを用いて3号機の事故解析を行った。本報告では、参加機関の3号機の解析結果やプラントデータとの比較から得られた知見、事故進展の評価及び最終的な原子炉内の状態について述べる。特に原子炉圧力容器の状態、溶融炉心の放出及びFP挙動及び放出について焦点を当てる。また、大きく炉心損傷の進展があったであろう時期に繰り返し行われた格納容器ベント操作や冷却水注水の試みという3号機の特徴に焦点を当て、不確かさや必要となるデータも含めコンセンサスを得た点についてまとめる。さらにFP移行挙動解析と格納容器内で測定された線量の比較、またI-131及びCs137の環境への放出量とWPSPEEDIコードによる解析結果との比較を行った。
Herranz, L. E.*; Pellegrini, M.*; Lind, T.*; Sonnenkalb, M.*; Godin-Jacqmin, L.*; L
pez, C.*; Dolganov, K.*; Cousin, F.*; 玉置 等史; Kim, T. W.*; et al.
Nuclear Engineering and Design, 369, p.110849_1 - 110849_7, 2020/12
被引用回数：20 パーセンタイル：94.29(Nuclear Science & Technology)OECD/NEAプロジェクト"福島第一原子力発電所事故に関するベンチマーク研究"のフェーズ2は2015年中期に開始された。このプロジェクトの目的は、解析期間を地震発生から3週間に拡張、核分裂生成物(FP)の挙動や環境への放出、そして放射線に関するデータや逆解析によるソースターム推定等の様々なデータとの比較を行うことである。6か国9組織が異なるシビアアクシデント解析コードを用いて1号機の事故解析を行った。本報告では、参加機関の1号機の解析結果やプラントデータとの比較から得られた知見、事故進展の評価及び最終的な原子炉内の状態について述べる。特に原子炉圧力容器の状態、溶融炉心の放出及びFP挙動及び放出について焦点を当てる。また、1号機特有の事柄に焦点を当て、不確かさや必要となるデータも含めコンセンサスを得た点についてまとめる。
Sonnenkalb, M.*; Pellegrini, M.*; Herranz, L. E.*; Lind, T.*; Morreale, A. C.*; 神田 憲一*; 玉置 等史; Kim, S. I.*; Cousin, F.*; Fernandez Moguel, L.*; et al.
Nuclear Engineering and Design, 369, p.110840_1 - 110840_10, 2020/12
被引用回数：22 パーセンタイル：95.22(Nuclear Science & Technology)OECD/NEAプロジェクト"福島第一原子力発電所事故に関するベンチマーク研究"のフェーズ2において、6か国9組織が異なるシビアアクシデント解析コードを用いて2号機の事故解析を行った。本報告では、参加機関の2号機の解析結果やプラントデータとの比較から得られた知見、事故進展の評価及び最終的な原子炉内の状態について述べる。特に原子炉圧力容器の状態、溶融炉心の放出及びFP挙動及び放出について焦点を当てる。また、2号機特有の事柄に焦点を当て、不確かさや必要となるデータも含めコンセンサスを得た点についてまとめる。
Pellegrini, M.*; Herranz, L.*; Sonnenkalb, M.*; Lind, T.*; 丸山 結; Gauntt, R.*; Bixler, N.*; Morreale, A.*; Dolganov, K.*; Sevon, T.*; et al.
Nuclear Technology, 206(9), p.1449 - 1463, 2020/09
被引用回数：35 パーセンタイル：98.28(Nuclear Science & Technology)The OECD/NEA Benchmark Study at the Accident of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (BSAF) project, which started in 2012 and continued until 2018, was one of the earliest responses to the accident at Fukushima Daiichi. The project, divided into two phases addressed the investigation of the accident at Unit 1, 2 and 3 by Severe Accident (SA) codes until 500 h focusing on thermal-hydraulics, core relocation, Molten Corium Concrete Interaction (MCCI) and fission products release and transport. The objectives of BSAF were to make up plausible scenarios based primarily on SA forensic analysis, support the decommissioning and inform SA codes modeling. The analysis and comparison among the institutes have brought up vital insights regarding the accident progression identifying periods of core meltdown and relocation, Reactor Pressure Vessel (RPV) and Primary Containment Vessel (PCV) leakage/failure through the comparison of pressure, water level and CAMS signatures. The combination of code results and inspections (muon radiography, PCV inspection) has provided a picture of the current status of the debris distribution and plant status. All units present a large relocation of core materials and all of them present ex-vessel debris with Unit 1 and Unit 3 showing evidences of undergoing MCCI. Uncertainties have been identified in particular on the time and magnitude of events such as corium relocation in RPV and into cavity floor, RPV and PCV rupture events. Main uncertainties resulting from the project are the large and continuous MCCI progression predicted by basically all the SA codes and the leak pathways from RPV to PCV and PCV to reactor building and environment. The BSAF project represents a pioneering exercise which has set the basis and provided lessons learned not only for code improvement but also for the development of new related projects to investigate in detail further aspects of the Fukushima Daiichi accident.
Pellegrini, M.*; Herranz, L.*; Sonnenkalb, M.*; Lind, T.*; 丸山 結; Gauntt, R.*; Bixler, N.*; Morreale, A.*; Dolganov, K.*; Sevon, T.*; et al.
Proceedings of 18th International Topical Meeting on Nuclear Reactor Thermal Hydraulics (NURETH-18) (USB Flash Drive), p.1147 - 1162, 2019/08
The OECD/NEA Benchmark Study at the Accident of the Fukushima Daiichi NPS project (BSAF) has started in 2012 until 2018 as one of the earliest responses to the accident at Fukushima Daiichi NPS. The project addressed the investigation of the accident at Units 1, 2 and 3 by severe accident (SA) codes focusing on thermal-hydraulics, core relocation, molten core/concrete interaction (MCCI) and fission products release and transport. The objectives of BSAF were to make up plausible scenarios based primarily on SA forensic analysis, support the decommissioning and inform SA codes modeling. The analysis and comparison among the institutes have brought up vital insights regarding the accident progression identifying periods of core meltdown and relocation, reactor vessel (RV) and primary containment vessel (PCV) leakage/failure through the comparison of pressure, water level and CAMS measurement. The combination of code results and inspections has provided a picture of the current state of the debris distribution and plant state. All units present a large relocation of core materials and all of them present ex-vessel debris with units 1 and 3 showing evidences of undergoing MCCI. Uncertainties have been identified in particular on the time and magnitude of events such as corium relocation in RV and into cavity floor, RV and PCV rupture events. Main uncertainties resulting from the project are the large and continuous MCCI progression predicted by basically all the SA codes and the leak pathways from RV to PCV and PCV to reactor building and environment. The BSAF project represents a pioneering exercise which has set the basis and provided lessons learned not only for code improvement but also for the development of new related projects to investigate in details further aspects of the Fukushima Daiichi NPS accident.
