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An Application of the probabilistic fracture mechanics code PASCAL-SP to risk informed in-service inspection for piping

配管系を対象とするリスク情報を活用した供用期間中検査における確率論的破壊力学の解析コードPASCAL-SPの活用

真野 晃宏; 山口 義仁; 勝山 仁哉; Li, Y.

Mano, Akihiro; Yamaguchi, Yoshihito; Katsuyama, Jinya; Li, Y.

米国等では原子力発電所の配管系を対象として、リスク情報を活用した供用期間中検査(RI-ISI)が広く実施されている。Westinghouse Owners Groupが開発したRI-ISI手法では、配管系をセグメントに区分し、非破壊試験を考慮した配管セグメントの漏えい頻度に基づいて、試験程度を決定する。配管セグメントの漏えい頻度の評価には、試験における亀裂の検出確率を亀裂寸法によらず一定値とみなす等の仮定に基づく統計モデルが用いられている。一方で、確率論的破壊力学(PFM)解析では、現実に即した亀裂検出確率評価モデルにより、詳細に漏えい頻度を評価可能である。原子力機構では、経年事象や非破壊試験等を考慮して配管セグメントの漏えい頻度を評価可能なPFM解析コードPASCAL-SPを開発している。本研究では、PASCAL-SPを用いて、試験チームの熟練度、試験時期及び補修範囲の考え方について異なる条件の下でセグメントの漏えい頻度及び試験程度を評価した。その結果、試験程度を現実に即して柔軟に評価できることから、PASCAL-SPはRI-ISIにおける有効なツールであると結論付けた。

As a rational inspection methodology, risk informed in-service inspection (RI-ISI) has been widely utilized in in-service inspections of nuclear power plants (NPPs) in several countries. In some of NPPs, an RI-ISI methodology developed by Westinghouse Owners Group (WOG) was applied. As a part of RI-ISI process, extent of examination for important piping segments are determined through the comparisons of leak frequencies with its target value based on the industrial piping leak experiences. The leak frequencies for segments are used as a numerical factor for planning examination based on WOG methodology, and can be evaluated through analyses on the basis of probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM). In Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA), we have developed a PFM analysis code PASCAL-SP for evaluating leak and rupture probabilities or frequencies of welds in piping of light water reactors taking crack initiation and propagation due to aging degradation mechanisms such as fatigue into consideration. Also, evaluation models of probability of crack detection by non-destructive examination considering the crack type, crack depth and performance of examination team is incorporated in PASCAL-SP. In this study, we investigated the applicability of PASCAL-SP into planning of examination considering the effects of repair methodology, performance of inspection team, and examination time. On the basis of analysis results, it was found that examination plans can be reasonably determined by using PASCAL-SP under several conditions, and it was concluded that the PFM is very effective tools in RI-ISI.

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